The Global Forecast using new data from to Jorgen Randers. Professor. Center for Climate Strategy. BI Norwegian Business School. Glimpse. has ratings and 33 reviews. Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical l. – A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years is a book describing trends in global development. It is written by Jørgen Randers and is a follow-up to .

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A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years – Wikipedia

But even though that jorgwn represented the lowest growth rate since — and a marked slowdown from the spending increase of 5. Jun 03, Hellyhaye rated it it was amazing Shelves: Inonly two countries, France and China, will be generating any electricity from nuclear energy at all—and both will have decided to get out of nuclear altogether jorgwn To bring some order to the plethora of forecasts, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC in established a set of six standard scenarios for global socioeconomic-technological development to In stock can be backordered Quantity.

Jan 25, Rachel rated it liked it. This review has been hidden because it contains spoilers. He lectures internationally on sustainable development and especially climate, and is a nonexecutive member of a number of corporate boards. Jorgen Randers is one of the producers of the original Club of Rome report.

In the bookJorgen Randers, one of the co-authors of The Limits to Growthissues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years. Sep 04, Abbey marked it as to-read Shelves: Chinese government and strategy, by the way, are praised throughout the text.

The massive changes taking place will influence all people and countries, but there will be regional variations. The possibility of permafrost thawing and rotting, releasing methane in the process, is mentioned in passing here and there.


This Site Uses Cookies We may use cookies to record some preference settings and to analyse how you use our web site. More Reviews and Praise Publishers Weekly- Randers has randera it his life’s work to caution the world about the dangers of unfettered expansion, and to seek out solutions to eanders and prospective problems.

It is unlikely leaders can do anything about it. Most people don’t get how inertia makes the trajectories of social systems discernible over long stretches of time. Even more strangely, nuclear jorfen is mentioned as something that could throw off his predictions, though he said it wouldn’t be by much. I think not, but I do think there will be a shift in the composition of future economic activity, so it becomes less damaging to values that are currently not priced in the marketplace.

These developments will occur first in rich countries with low levels of corruption and high manpower costs. What is often not well understood about LTG is that it was a scenario analysis rather than a forecast; the idea was to analyse the impact of various social behaviours and decisio This book took me a while to read, because it was dense with information.

Randers’ claim that China and other authoritarian regimes have the best chance at significant investment in carbon reduction is tough to swallow and will likely result in lots of debate. This increase of 1. But it also delivered widening inequality, increased market volatility, and facilitated the continued liquidation of natural assets. With heart, fact, and wisdom, Randers guides us along a realistic path into the future and discusses what readers can do to ensure a better life for themselves and their children during the increasing turmoil of the next forty years.

Professor Jorgen Randers: 2052: A global forecast for the next forty years

Global military expenditure rose in by 1. One reasonable question is whether the majority of the urban population will continue to dwell in slums. World population will decline from about Choice- In commemoration of the 40th anniversary of Limits to Growth CH, Nov’73Randers climate strategy, BI Norwegian Business School forecasts changes in population, consumption, energy use, emissions, quality of life, and climate over the next 40 years.


At the other extreme, in North Africa and the Middle East—with the exception of Israel and partly Turkey—populations are still rising rapidly, incomes are low, and political instability reigns.

We will become an increasingly urbanised, digitally enabled and detached-from-nature species, living in apartment blocks and relying on a virtual world to entertain us and remind us of what the natural world looks like, or used to look like.

Open Preview Rxnders a Problem? The author came to my attention because of a critique for his first attempt at projecting the future some forty years ago. So, how do we prepare for the years ahead?

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But this change might not come as we expect. Apr 30, Muhammad al-Khwarizmi rated it liked it Shelves: Will humanity come to its senses and deliberately slow economic growth in order to save the planet?

His predictions may well come to be true in the short term more of the same, just worsebut he makes no effort to predict the future when things begin to unravel – politically, economic Jorgen Randers extends the trends to make predictions about the future. Randers makes a rational and convincing argument which he repeatedly explains and reinforces throughout the book.

Without giving too much away, make it your short term plan to read this book i.